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Red225
4201101.6
450176.5
407978.7
Blue103
249365.6
96873.0
330117.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274273150200250300350225103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#11
101.62.3
90.588.2
Auto10.4
Teleop46.1
End45.1
blue by 15.4
330
#5
117.010.5
123.7113.2
Auto26.4
Teleop60.4
End30.2
Second
4079
#20
78.72.8
76.173.3
Auto7.2
Teleop36.6
End35.0
red by 5.7
968
#26
73.010.5
54.343.8
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End32.3
Third
4501
#28
76.52.3
92.490.2
Auto1.5
Teleop40.8
End34.3
red by 10.9
2493
#36
65.610.5
82.271.7
Auto7.1
Teleop27.8
End30.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed12%Pressure oddsMissed