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Red300
96873.0
3473111.5
499960.4
Blue322
427699.7
29479.9
596649.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21226104006008001,000300322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.56.2
99.2105.4
Auto9.5
Teleop53.1
End48.9
red by 11.9
4276
#14
99.75.4
97.2102.6
Auto11.7
Teleop51.2
End36.7
Second
968
#26
73.06.2
43.850.0
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End32.3
blue by 6.9
294
#12
79.95.4
83.488.8
Auto11.1
Teleop40.4
End28.4
Third
4999
#33
60.46.2
64.470.6
Auto10.9
Teleop34.7
End14.7
red by 11.0
5966
#29
49.36.6
60.967.4
Auto8.8
Teleop27.4
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed