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Red361
4201101.6
330117.0
59991.9
Blue125
450176.5
3647110.4
653535.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132090100400500600700800361125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#5
117.05.1
107.2112.4
Auto26.4
Teleop60.4
End30.2
red by 6.6
110.45.8
94.088.3
Auto11.7
Teleop57.1
End41.6
Second
4201
#11
101.65.1
87.092.1
Auto10.4
Teleop46.1
End45.1
red by 25.1
4501
#28
76.55.8
84.278.4
Auto1.5
Teleop40.8
End34.3
Third
599
#25
91.95.1
89.894.9
Auto13.6
Teleop44.1
End34.2
red by 56.0
6535
#27
35.86.4
33.727.2
Auto6.4
Teleop27.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed7%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
11%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed