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Red230
59788.8
59991.9
450176.5
Blue291
3473111.5
3309113.9
263791.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713340100200300400500230291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#25
91.92.4
94.992.5
Auto13.6
Teleop44.1
End34.2
blue by 22.0
113.91.2
115.3114.1
Auto29.9
Teleop48.2
End35.7
Second
597
#15
88.82.4
92.690.2
Auto8.4
Teleop44.0
End36.4
blue by 22.7
111.51.2
106.9105.7
Auto9.5
Teleop53.1
End48.9
Third
4501
#28
76.52.4
78.476.0
Auto1.5
Teleop40.8
End34.3
blue by 14.9
2637
#10
91.41.2
87.286.0
Auto12.5
Teleop50.1
End28.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed21%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed26%Pressure oddsMissed