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Red300
39994.2
330117.0
3476103.3
Blue261
580581.3
580299.5
249365.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290298150200250350400300261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#5
117.01.2
112.4113.6
Auto26.4
Teleop60.4
End30.2
red by 17.5
5802
#16
99.52.1
113.9111.8
Auto11.1
Teleop47.5
End40.9
Second
103.31.2
80.081.2
Auto15.2
Teleop50.1
End37.9
red by 22.0
5805
#21
81.32.1
91.689.5
Auto9.8
Teleop35.3
End36.2
Third
399
#6
94.21.2
84.585.7
Auto8.7
Teleop47.2
End38.3
red by 28.6
2493
#36
65.62.1
76.974.8
Auto7.1
Teleop27.8
End30.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
13%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
17%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed