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Red205
427699.7
59788.8
466.7
Blue261
330117.0
392584.9
98048.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2782440100200400500205261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#14
99.73.7
98.594.8
Auto11.7
Teleop51.2
End36.7
blue by 17.4
330
#5
117.01.3
113.0114.4
Auto26.4
Teleop60.4
End30.2
Second
597
#15
88.83.7
93.689.9
Auto8.4
Teleop44.0
End36.4
red by 3.9
84.91.3
80.481.7
Auto13.1
Teleop42.0
End29.9
Third
4
#31
66.73.7
68.064.3
Auto6.4
Teleop43.9
End16.5
red by 18.7
980
#35
48.01.3
42.543.8
Auto4.3
Teleop36.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed19%Pressure oddsMissed