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Red301
3309113.9
580299.5
29479.9
Blue253
4201101.6
1661104.6
69677.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32329005001,0001,500301253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.90.1
113.4113.3
Auto29.9
Teleop48.2
End35.7
red by 9.3
1661
#18
104.61.8
111.0109.2
Auto13.5
Teleop42.6
End48.5
Second
5802
#16
99.50.1
108.8108.7
Auto11.1
Teleop47.5
End40.9
blue by 2.1
4201
#11
101.61.8
90.889.0
Auto10.4
Teleop46.1
End45.1
Third
294
#12
79.90.1
80.680.5
Auto11.1
Teleop40.4
End28.4
red by 2.6
696
#23
77.31.8
78.376.5
Auto12.7
Teleop47.0
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
17%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed