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Red260
653535.8
1661104.6
119780.4
Blue170
59788.8
461976.4
499960.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23628005001,0001,5002,0002,500260170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1661
#18
104.61.7
115.7117.4
Auto13.5
Teleop42.6
End48.5
red by 15.8
597
#15
88.87.7
98.290.5
Auto8.4
Teleop44.0
End36.4
Second
1197
#24
80.41.7
81.182.7
Auto9.3
Teleop41.3
End29.8
red by 4.0
4619
#30
76.47.7
90.482.7
Auto9.8
Teleop35.6
End31.0
Third
6535
#27
35.82.3
32.935.2
Auto6.4
Teleop27.1
End2.3
blue by 24.5
4999
#33
60.47.7
72.164.4
Auto10.9
Teleop34.7
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed