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Red272
330117.0
29479.9
1661104.6
Blue263
3309113.9
265973.9
519985.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3272770100200400500600700800272263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#5
117.02.1
114.4112.2
Auto26.4
Teleop60.4
End30.2
red by 3.1
113.90.4
113.3112.9
Auto29.9
Teleop48.2
End35.7
Second
1661
#18
104.62.1
109.2107.0
Auto13.5
Teleop42.6
End48.5
red by 19.2
5199
#19
85.40.4
90.890.4
Auto14.3
Teleop40.4
End30.8
Third
294
#12
79.92.1
80.578.4
Auto11.1
Teleop40.4
End28.4
red by 6.0
2659
#22
73.90.4
65.264.8
Auto9.7
Teleop36.6
End27.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
25%Pressure oddsMissed21%Pressure oddsEarned