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Qual 462017 Beach Blitz
Red274
653535.8
427699.7
3309113.9
Blue155
580299.5
116064.5
6069.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267262150200250300350274155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#3
113.92.2
112.9→115.0
Auto29.9
Teleop48.2
End35.7
red by 14.4
5802
#16
99.57.1
111.5→104.4
Auto11.1
Teleop47.5
End40.9
Second
4276
#14
99.72.2
97.5→99.6
Auto11.7
Teleop51.2
End36.7
red by 30.2
60
#32
69.57.1
77.8→70.7
Auto10.9
Teleop26.0
End32.6
Third
6535
#27
35.82.2
31.3→33.5
Auto6.4
Teleop27.1
End2.3
blue by 28.7
1160
#34
64.57.1
71.6→64.5
Auto8.5
Teleop24.6
End31.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
26%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed