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Red209
519985.4
4201101.6
263791.4
Blue285
461976.4
432293.4
407978.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2902430100200400500600209285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#11
101.64.1
93.189.0
Auto10.4
Teleop46.1
End45.1
red by 8.2
4322
#13
93.43.2
94.497.6
Auto10.8
Teleop42.1
End40.6
Second
2637
#10
91.44.1
86.482.4
Auto12.5
Teleop50.1
End28.8
red by 12.7
4079
#20
78.73.2
71.975.0
Auto7.2
Teleop36.6
End35.0
Third
5199
#19
85.44.1
90.486.3
Auto14.3
Teleop40.4
End30.8
red by 9.0
4619
#30
76.43.2
71.074.1
Auto9.8
Teleop35.6
End31.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed