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Red245
69677.3
119780.4
39994.2
Blue331
4201101.6
3473111.5
59788.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413070100200400500600700245331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#6
94.20.5
89.590.0
Auto8.7
Teleop47.2
End38.3
blue by 17.3
111.53.2
108.4111.6
Auto9.5
Teleop53.1
End48.9
Second
1197
#24
80.40.5
77.778.2
Auto9.3
Teleop41.3
End29.8
blue by 21.2
4201
#11
101.63.2
89.092.2
Auto10.4
Teleop46.1
End45.1
Third
696
#23
77.30.5
70.170.6
Auto12.7
Teleop47.0
End17.6
blue by 11.5
597
#15
88.83.2
85.889.0
Auto8.4
Teleop44.0
End36.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsEarned6%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed