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Red386
3476103.3
263791.4
655494.5
Blue265
1661104.6
96873.0
6069.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2962540100200400500600386265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.35.4
99.6104.9
Auto15.2
Teleop50.1
End37.9
blue by 1.3
1661
#18
104.61.2
107.1108.3
Auto13.5
Teleop42.6
End48.5
Second
94.55.4
90.896.2
Auto7.0
Teleop41.5
End46.0
red by 21.5
968
#26
73.01.2
71.372.5
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End32.3
Third
2637
#10
91.45.4
85.290.6
Auto12.5
Teleop50.1
End28.8
red by 21.9
60
#32
69.51.2
68.269.5
Auto10.9
Teleop26.0
End32.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
19%Rotor oddsEarned3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed