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Red245
59991.9
580299.5
466.7
Blue256
116064.5
59788.8
432293.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2792560200400600800245256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#16
99.51.1
100.599.3
Auto11.1
Teleop47.5
End40.9
red by 6.1
4322
#13
93.40.6
93.694.2
Auto10.8
Teleop42.1
End40.6
Second
599
#25
91.91.1
93.992.7
Auto13.6
Teleop44.1
End34.2
red by 3.0
597
#15
88.80.6
89.089.6
Auto8.4
Teleop44.0
End36.4
Third
4
#31
66.71.1
67.866.7
Auto6.4
Teleop43.9
End16.5
red by 2.2
1160
#34
64.50.6
63.964.5
Auto8.5
Teleop24.6
End31.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed