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Red445
8104.6
1671B66.0
3256B71.2
Blue170
8B63.9
5499105.3
701B67.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291247100200400500445170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#5
104.62.5
102.0104.5
Auto12.6
Teleop57.2
End34.8
blue by 0.7
5499
#20
105.31.5
98.296.7
Auto8.3
Teleop45.4
End51.7
Second
71.23.6
67.471.0
Auto4.5
Teleop32.4
End34.3
red by 4.1
701B
#23
67.21.8
58.556.7
Auto5.6
Teleop38.3
End23.2
Third
66.03.6
62.265.8
Auto5.3
Teleop31.7
End29.0
red by 2.1
8B
#8
63.91.8
55.353.4
Auto7.7
Teleop37.3
End18.9