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Red201
325063.5
114B31.8
1678124.6
Blue145
973100.2
2073B50.6
417164.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254243150200300350201145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.62.2
123.7121.4
Auto23.5
Teleop54.8
End46.3
red by 24.3
973
#30
100.26.2
121.2115.0
Auto18.7
Teleop48.5
End33.0
Second
3250
#15
63.52.2
61.158.8
Auto6.7
Teleop36.7
End20.1
blue by 0.6
4171
#22
64.16.2
60.754.6
Auto5.9
Teleop21.7
End36.5
Third
114B
#36
31.83.7
49.846.1
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End1.3
blue by 18.8
50.610.3
55.845.5
Auto3.6
Teleop29.1
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
63%Pressure oddsEarned60%Pressure oddsMissed