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Red255
570081.4
510476.5
2122B97.8
Blue185
464379.2
701B67.2
128068.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2261670100200300400500255185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.85.3
59.564.7
Auto17.4
Teleop36.8
End43.7
red by 18.6
4643
#28
79.21.3
74.375.5
Auto6.4
Teleop40.5
End32.3
Second
5700
#10
81.43.2
61.164.3
Auto12.0
Teleop41.7
End27.8
red by 13.3
1280
#14
68.11.3
52.253.5
Auto6.8
Teleop33.6
End27.6
Third
5104
#13
76.53.2
86.990.1
Auto10.5
Teleop36.0
End30.0
red by 9.3
701B
#23
67.22.1
39.841.8
Auto5.6
Teleop38.3
End23.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
14%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed