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Red238
2122B97.8
1323B66.4
617454.5
Blue200
385989.2
5104B34.0
594068.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193182100150250238200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.81.5
64.763.2
Auto17.4
Teleop36.8
End43.7
red by 8.6
3859
#16
89.21.3
84.585.9
Auto8.3
Teleop36.3
End44.6
Second
66.41.3
54.353.0
Auto8.8
Teleop33.0
End24.6
blue by 1.9
5940
#19
68.31.3
65.867.1
Auto6.3
Teleop26.5
End35.5
Third
6174
#11
54.50.9
57.856.9
Auto6.7
Teleop31.8
End16.1
red by 20.5
34.02.2
29.732.0
Auto4.4
Teleop19.1
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
39%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed