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Red245
701B67.2
973100.2
8B63.9
Blue145
973B42.2
3256B71.2
167172.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2431800100300400500245145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#30
100.21.5
113.5115.0
Auto18.7
Teleop48.5
End33.0
red by 27.5
1671
#29
72.82.3
73.871.5
Auto7.0
Teleop39.7
End26.1
Second
701B
#23
67.22.3
50.252.5
Auto5.6
Teleop38.3
End23.2
blue by 4.1
71.23.8
60.656.8
Auto4.5
Teleop32.4
End34.3
Third
8B
#8
63.92.5
59.261.7
Auto7.7
Teleop37.3
End18.9
red by 21.8
973B
#42
42.23.8
44.841.0
Auto7.9
Teleop20.2
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
10%Rotor oddsEarned9%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
65%Pressure oddsMissed18%Pressure oddsMissed