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Red205
70166.0
617454.5
213584.8
Blue258
1671B66.0
1323B66.4
701B67.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2281620100300400500600205258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#41
84.80.2
81.781.5
Auto10.0
Teleop38.0
End36.8
red by 17.6
701B
#23
67.29.2
52.561.7
Auto5.6
Teleop38.3
End23.2
Second
701
#34
66.00.2
70.570.3
Auto7.9
Teleop37.0
End21.1
blue by 0.4
66.46.4
58.665.0
Auto8.8
Teleop33.0
End24.6
Third
6174
#11
54.50.2
55.855.6
Auto6.7
Teleop31.8
End16.1
blue by 11.5
66.010.7
51.061.7
Auto5.3
Teleop31.7
End29.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed15%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed4%Pressure oddsMissed