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Red50
128068.1
5499105.3
5104B34.0
Blue140
701B67.2
3256B71.2
2073B50.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231108020030040050060050140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#20
105.310.3
105.194.8
Auto8.3
Teleop45.4
End51.7
red by 34.1
71.22.4
38.240.5
Auto4.5
Teleop32.4
End34.3
Second
1280
#14
68.110.3
62.251.9
Auto6.8
Teleop33.6
End27.6
red by 0.9
701B
#23
67.224.0
67.243.1
Auto5.6
Teleop38.3
End23.2
Third
34.017.1
36.919.8
Auto4.4
Teleop19.1
End10.5
blue by 16.6
50.62.4
39.742.1
Auto3.6
Teleop29.1
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
7%Rotor oddsMissed13%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
3%Pressure oddsMissed5%Pressure oddsMissed