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Quarterfinal 1-22017 CalGames
Red254
186894.9
247378.4
67064.1
Blue155
668836.9
196779.2
476562.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2551800100300400500254155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#12
94.90.5
92.6→93.2
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End43.8
red by 15.7
1967
#11
79.20.6
79.8→79.2
Auto6.8
Teleop27.9
End44.5
Second
2473
#1
78.40.5
76.1→76.6
Auto8.1
Teleop41.1
End29.2
red by 15.8
4765
#22
62.60.6
63.1→62.6
Auto8.1
Teleop29.2
End25.3
Third
670
#20
64.10.5
61.8→62.3
Auto7.7
Teleop36.1
End20.2
red by 27.2
6688
#26
36.90.6
37.5→36.9
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.0