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Quarterfinal 2-22017 CalGames
Red305
115103.5
490481.1
84696.9
Blue155
135164.7
10091.4
76671.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912380100200400500600305155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#15
103.51.0
96.6→97.6
Auto11.4
Teleop51.1
End40.9
red by 12.1
100
#6
91.41.7
93.1→91.4
Auto7.5
Teleop29.5
End54.4
Second
846
#18
96.91.0
90.1→91.1
Auto11.5
Teleop42.8
End42.6
red by 26.0
766
#14
71.01.7
72.7→71.0
Auto9.4
Teleop39.1
End22.5
Third
4904
#4
81.11.0
74.3→75.2
Auto9.5
Teleop32.9
End38.6
red by 16.4
1351
#10
64.71.7
66.4→64.7
Auto7.6
Teleop30.0
End27.1