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Quarterfinal 3-12017 CalGames
Red235
510494.7
418690.4
255166.7
Blue260
75187.2
281358.8
19980.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24922850100150200300350400235260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#13
94.70.0
88.5→88.5
Auto11.4
Teleop43.9
End39.4
red by 7.5
751
#17
87.20.4
84.7→85.0
Auto8.8
Teleop41.1
End37.3
Second
4186
#2
90.40.0
84.2→84.2
Auto8.1
Teleop34.9
End47.4
red by 10.2
199
#19
80.10.4
77.6→77.9
Auto6.9
Teleop32.2
End41.0
Third
2551
#31
66.70.0
60.5→60.6
Auto2.0
Teleop31.6
End33.1
red by 7.9
2813
#9
58.80.4
56.2→56.6
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End22.8