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Quarterfinal 3-32017 CalGames
Red445
510494.7
418690.4
255166.7
Blue285
75187.2
281358.8
19980.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25323250100150200300350400445285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#13
94.72.3
89.7→92.0
Auto11.4
Teleop43.9
End39.4
red by 7.5
751
#17
87.21.4
85.8→87.2
Auto8.8
Teleop41.1
End37.3
Second
4186
#2
90.42.3
85.4→87.7
Auto8.1
Teleop34.9
End47.4
red by 10.2
199
#19
80.11.4
78.7→80.1
Auto6.9
Teleop32.2
End41.0
Third
2551
#31
66.72.3
61.7→64.0
Auto2.0
Teleop31.6
End33.1
red by 7.9
2813
#9
58.81.4
57.4→58.8
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End22.8