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Qual 132017 CalGames
Red307
476562.6
186894.9
649100.5
Blue248
10091.4
67064.1
19980.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263249100150200300350400307248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#3
100.54.0
98.3→102.2
Auto13.4
Teleop46.7
End40.3
red by 9.1
100
#6
91.40.3
88.5→88.8
Auto7.5
Teleop29.5
End54.4
Second
1868
#12
94.94.0
86.1→90.1
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End43.8
red by 14.8
199
#19
80.10.3
86.5→86.8
Auto6.9
Teleop32.2
End41.0
Third
4765
#22
62.64.0
63.3→67.3
Auto8.1
Teleop29.2
End25.3
blue by 1.5
670
#20
64.10.3
63.3→63.6
Auto7.7
Teleop36.1
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed2%Pressure oddsMissed