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Red195
135164.7
186894.9
247378.4
Blue165
681632.1
418690.4
97262.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2711690100200400500600195165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#12
94.93.3
90.186.8
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End43.8
red by 4.6
90.42.2
81.879.6
Auto8.1
Teleop34.9
End47.4
Second
78.43.3
79.476.2
Auto8.1
Teleop41.1
End29.2
red by 16.2
972
#25
62.22.2
64.862.5
Auto5.7
Teleop31.6
End25.0
Third
1351
#10
64.73.3
74.771.4
Auto7.6
Teleop30.0
End27.1
red by 32.6
6816
#30
32.13.7
27.123.3
Auto2.2
Teleop18.7
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed