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Red394
254367.9
1678141.3
973118.1
Blue305
2073102.0
19994.5
70185.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352292100200400500600394305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.30.7
140.1140.8
Auto25.1
Teleop56.5
End59.6
red by 39.3
2073
#11
102.00.2
102.7102.5
Auto13.9
Teleop35.8
End52.2
Second
973
#3
118.10.7
116.9117.6
Auto17.0
Teleop51.4
End49.7
red by 23.6
199
#2
94.50.3
95.595.2
Auto10.3
Teleop29.7
End54.5
Third
2543
#29
67.90.7
66.867.4
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End26.6
blue by 17.7
701
#14
85.70.3
86.786.4
Auto10.5
Teleop43.6
End31.5