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Red162
69250.1
454382.5
361514.9
Blue310
138863.2
587565.2
548073.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158134050100200250300350162310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4543
#43
82.51.2
70.171.4
Auto8.8
Teleop39.7
End33.9
red by 8.7
5480
#51
73.811.6
39.050.6
Auto9.5
Teleop26.6
End37.7
Second
692
#41
50.11.7
44.946.6
Auto6.9
Teleop24.5
End18.6
blue by 15.1
5875
#21
65.211.6
36.748.3
Auto1.7
Teleop34.3
End29.2
Third
3615
#56
14.91.7
31.733.4
Auto4.3
Teleop16.0
End-5.3
blue by 48.3
1388
#33
63.28.5
54.663.1
Auto5.6
Teleop25.5
End32.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed