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Red179
664435.7
105681.4
1678141.3
Blue305
166280.8
501277.7
350169.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2491540100200300400179305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.33.3
124.8121.5
Auto25.1
Teleop56.5
End59.6
red by 60.5
1662
#15
80.810.8
59.270.0
Auto9.2
Teleop40.8
End30.8
Second
81.45.0
57.652.6
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End38.4
red by 3.7
5012
#24
77.710.8
48.058.8
Auto7.6
Teleop29.7
End40.4
Third
6644
#30
35.75.0
41.636.6
Auto6.7
Teleop23.8
End5.3
blue by 33.8
3501
#31
69.510.8
52.062.8
Auto8.3
Teleop36.3
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed