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Qual 282017 Sacramento Regional
Red197
454382.5
417166.8
208569.7
Blue305
167189.6
29571.5
64993.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17819750100150250300350197305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4543
#43
82.51.9
71.4→73.3
Auto8.8
Teleop39.7
End33.9
blue by 10.9
649
#23
93.413.4
63.5→76.9
Auto13.4
Teleop35.6
End44.5
Second
2085
#35
69.71.7
59.4→61.1
Auto5.2
Teleop31.6
End32.8
blue by 19.9
1671
#7
89.68.0
64.4→72.5
Auto10.5
Teleop42.7
End36.4
Third
4171
#47
66.82.8
40.6→43.5
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End37.6
blue by 4.7
295
#18
71.513.4
56.5→69.9
Auto9.0
Teleop30.8
End31.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed