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Red145
166280.8
527466.8
10062.2
Blue217
469864.2
647458.7
312889.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1892000100300400500145217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#15
80.82.4
70.067.6
Auto9.2
Teleop40.8
End30.8
blue by 8.3
3128
#20
89.12.1
90.492.5
Auto9.8
Teleop36.3
End43.1
Second
5274
#49
66.84.0
57.653.6
Auto10.4
Teleop32.5
End23.9
red by 2.7
4698
#28
64.23.1
49.052.2
Auto9.8
Teleop27.2
End27.1
Third
100
#44
62.24.0
53.349.3
Auto8.6
Teleop27.6
End26.0
red by 3.5
6474
#25
58.73.1
49.252.4
Auto5.4
Teleop23.1
End30.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed