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Red150
417166.8
29571.5
587565.2
Blue289
255163.9
385976.7
325770.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16718150100150200250300150289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
295
#18
71.51.2
69.968.7
Auto9.0
Teleop30.8
End31.8
blue by 5.2
3859
#22
76.77.9
54.262.1
Auto5.6
Teleop35.2
End35.9
Second
4171
#47
66.81.2
43.542.2
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End37.6
blue by 4.1
3257
#39
70.913.2
55.768.9
Auto11.2
Teleop35.7
End24.0
Third
5875
#21
65.21.2
47.746.5
Auto1.7
Teleop34.3
End29.2
red by 1.3
2551
#37
63.913.2
60.573.7
Auto1.3
Teleop29.1
End33.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed