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Red197
501277.7
466980.5
366955.3
Blue215
10062.2
361514.9
417166.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2141010300400500197215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4669
#42
80.50.6
70.070.6
Auto10.5
Teleop32.8
End37.2
red by 13.7
4171
#47
66.811.5
42.253.8
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End37.6
Second
5012
#24
77.70.6
58.859.4
Auto7.6
Teleop29.7
End40.4
red by 15.5
100
#44
62.211.5
49.360.8
Auto8.6
Teleop27.6
End26.0
Third
3669
#45
55.30.6
59.560.0
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End27.3
red by 40.4
3615
#56
14.911.5
19.831.3
Auto4.3
Teleop16.0
End-5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed