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Red244
385976.7
454382.5
501277.7
Blue255
325770.9
170091.4
214179.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225223150200250300350244255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4543
#43
82.52.5
77.079.5
Auto8.8
Teleop39.7
End33.9
blue by 8.9
1700
#13
91.42.4
85.688.0
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End39.9
Second
5012
#24
77.72.5
59.461.9
Auto7.6
Teleop29.7
End40.4
blue by 1.9
79.54.0
65.669.6
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End42.0
Third
3859
#22
76.72.5
70.072.5
Auto5.6
Teleop35.2
End35.9
red by 5.9
3257
#39
70.94.0
68.272.1
Auto11.2
Teleop35.7
End24.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed