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Red280
549678.5
318964.6
170091.4
Blue270
138863.2
69250.1
466980.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2471710100200300400280270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#13
91.42.0
86.588.5
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End39.9
red by 10.9
4669
#42
80.56.2
74.380.5
Auto10.5
Teleop32.8
End37.2
Second
5496
#17
78.52.9
75.678.5
Auto10.9
Teleop29.8
End37.8
red by 15.3
1388
#33
63.26.2
57.163.2
Auto5.6
Teleop25.5
End32.1
Third
3189
#19
64.62.0
62.564.6
Auto9.7
Teleop33.7
End21.2
red by 14.5
692
#41
50.18.9
41.250.1
Auto6.9
Teleop24.5
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed