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Red105
361514.9
254367.9
630581.1
Blue319
105681.4
464374.5
413572.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189210050100150250300350400105319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6305
#46
81.15.2
86.381.1
Auto5.1
Teleop24.7
End51.3
blue by 0.2
81.411.3
68.980.2
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End38.4
Second
2543
#29
67.95.2
73.768.5
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End26.6
blue by 6.6
74.57.8
65.873.6
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End32.5
Third
3615
#56
14.97.5
22.414.9
Auto4.3
Teleop16.0
End-5.3
blue by 57.9
72.87.8
62.169.9
Auto6.9
Teleop30.7
End35.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed