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Semifinal 1-22017 Sacramento Regional
Red321
254367.9
1678141.3
973118.1
Blue309
167189.6
132389.3
501277.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3632500100200300400500600321309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#1
141.31.3
141.4→140.1
Auto25.1
Teleop56.5
End59.6
red by 51.7
1671
#7
89.61.2
88.4→89.6
Auto10.5
Teleop42.7
End36.4
Second
973
#3
118.11.3
118.2→116.9
Auto17.0
Teleop51.4
End49.7
red by 28.8
1323
#5
89.31.2
88.0→89.3
Auto16.5
Teleop42.3
End30.4
Third
2543
#29
67.91.3
68.0→66.8
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End26.6
blue by 9.7
5012
#24
77.71.2
76.4→77.7
Auto7.6
Teleop29.7
End40.4