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Red294
641774.6
3309128.8
392592.4
Blue305
599101.7
448677.4
347389.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162820100200400500600294305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128.80.1
128.4128.3
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End59.0
red by 27.1
599
#17
101.70.7
102.6103.3
Auto12.7
Teleop43.7
End45.3
Second
3925
#23
92.40.1
92.191.9
Auto9.3
Teleop44.5
End38.5
red by 2.6
3473
#12
89.80.7
90.891.5
Auto5.5
Teleop43.1
End41.3
Third
6417
#13
74.60.2
74.174.0
Auto12.2
Teleop28.0
End34.3
blue by 2.9
4486
#10
77.40.7
78.479.1
Auto5.2
Teleop37.3
End34.9