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Red325
641774.6
3309128.8
392592.4
Blue235
599101.7
448677.4
347389.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172820100200400500600700325235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128.80.2
128.5128.8
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End59.0
red by 27.1
599
#17
101.70.8
102.5101.7
Auto12.7
Teleop43.7
End45.3
Second
3925
#23
92.40.2
92.292.4
Auto9.3
Teleop44.5
End38.5
red by 2.6
3473
#12
89.80.8
90.789.8
Auto5.5
Teleop43.1
End41.3
Third
6417
#13
74.60.3
74.374.6
Auto12.2
Teleop28.0
End34.3
blue by 2.9
4486
#10
77.40.8
78.377.4
Auto5.2
Teleop37.3
End34.9