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Quarterfinal 1-12017 Orange County Regional
Red390
641774.6
3309128.8
392592.4
Blue255
116086.5
364686.2
407976.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122680100200400500600700390255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#1
128.81.2
127.0→128.2
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End59.0
red by 42.2
1160
#28
86.50.1
89.9→89.7
Auto9.7
Teleop29.5
End47.4
Second
3925
#23
92.41.2
90.6→91.8
Auto9.3
Teleop44.5
End38.5
red by 6.2
3646
#11
86.20.1
90.3→90.1
Auto5.2
Teleop36.1
End44.9
Third
6417
#13
74.61.5
72.3→73.8
Auto12.2
Teleop28.0
End34.3
blue by 1.6
4079
#14
76.10.1
80.2→80.0
Auto10.4
Teleop35.2
End30.6