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Red335
641774.6
3309128.8
392592.4
Blue115
116086.5
364686.2
407976.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318267100200400500600335115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128.80.4
128.2128.5
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End59.0
red by 42.2
1160
#28
86.53.2
89.786.5
Auto9.7
Teleop29.5
End47.4
Second
3925
#23
92.40.4
91.892.2
Auto9.3
Teleop44.5
End38.5
red by 6.2
3646
#11
86.23.9
90.186.2
Auto5.2
Teleop36.1
End44.9
Third
6417
#13
74.60.4
73.874.3
Auto12.2
Teleop28.0
End34.3
blue by 1.6
4079
#14
76.13.9
80.076.1
Auto10.4
Teleop35.2
End30.6