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Quarterfinal 4-12017 Orange County Regional
Red445
4711104.6
207103.8
1572103.0
Blue307
580595.3
666872.8
499972.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372310100300400500600700445307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4711
#16
104.60.9
102.5→103.4
Auto13.6
Teleop42.3
End48.6
red by 9.3
5805
#21
95.31.6
93.2→94.8
Auto13.4
Teleop41.8
End40.1
Second
207
#3
103.80.9
101.7→102.6
Auto11.7
Teleop53.5
End38.6
red by 31.0
6668
#8
72.82.0
70.3→72.3
Auto9.1
Teleop29.2
End34.6
Third
1572
#4
103.00.9
100.9→101.8
Auto12.2
Teleop47.6
End43.2
red by 30.9
4999
#19
72.11.6
70.0→71.7
Auto7.0
Teleop36.5
End28.6