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Red210
581062.8
347073.3
599101.7
Blue420
347689.6
207103.8
4711104.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2142680100300400500600210420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#17
101.70.4
85.084.6
Auto12.7
Teleop43.7
End45.3
blue by 2.9
4711
#16
104.66.5
87.894.3
Auto13.6
Teleop42.3
End48.6
Second
3470
#31
73.30.6
61.661.0
Auto12.2
Teleop37.0
End24.0
blue by 30.5
207
#3
103.87.2
88.195.3
Auto11.7
Teleop53.5
End38.6
Third
5810
#43
62.80.6
63.863.2
Auto4.9
Teleop33.9
End24.0
blue by 26.8
3476
#18
89.68.0
71.479.4
Auto9.3
Teleop49.6
End30.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed