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Red325
448677.4
347389.8
599101.7
Blue170
364686.2
386359.4
329540.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2341750100200300400325170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#17
101.77.4
87.895.1
Auto12.7
Teleop43.7
End45.3
red by 15.5
3646
#11
86.23.8
70.566.7
Auto5.2
Teleop36.1
End44.9
Second
3473
#12
89.89.0
77.886.8
Auto5.5
Teleop43.1
End41.3
red by 30.5
3863
#38
59.42.3
56.354.0
Auto5.9
Teleop31.6
End21.9
Third
4486
#10
77.48.2
48.857.0
Auto5.2
Teleop37.3
End34.9
red by 37.0
3295
#48
40.43.8
47.343.5
Auto0.9
Teleop21.3
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsEarned0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed