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Red180
580595.3
329540.4
448677.4
Blue255
427694.9
655481.8
405656.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491690100200300400500180255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5805
#21
95.33.5
63.967.4
Auto13.4
Teleop41.8
End40.1
red by 0.3
94.98.6
73.882.5
Auto11.5
Teleop49.2
End34.2
Second
4486
#10
77.43.5
41.344.8
Auto5.2
Teleop37.3
End34.9
blue by 4.3
81.844.7
95.450.7
Auto6.4
Teleop36.3
End39.0
Third
3295
#48
40.44.0
38.942.9
Auto0.9
Teleop21.3
End18.2
blue by 16.1
4056
#30
56.510.8
44.154.9
Auto2.3
Teleop22.9
End31.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed