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Red235
386359.4
58951.0
448677.4
Blue118
581062.8
653532.9
249664.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1941600100300400500235118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4486
#10
77.40.3
63.163.4
Auto5.2
Teleop37.3
End34.9
red by 12.6
2496
#39
64.96.6
56.049.4
Auto3.7
Teleop34.0
End27.2
Second
3863
#38
59.40.3
65.565.8
Auto5.9
Teleop31.6
End21.9
blue by 3.4
5810
#43
62.86.6
54.948.3
Auto4.9
Teleop33.9
End24.0
Third
589
#42
51.00.3
51.451.7
Auto7.4
Teleop40.9
End2.7
red by 18.1
6535
#51
32.97.1
45.838.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.6
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed