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Red346
330375.3
3309102.5
2486109.1
Blue318
3512105.6
481.8
29490.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290289220240260280300320340360380346318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.11.2
103.4104.5
Auto15.6
Teleop43.9
End49.6
red by 3.5
3512
#21
105.60.9
104.1105.1
Auto16.0
Teleop45.4
End44.3
Second
102.51.2
97.398.4
Auto14.2
Teleop46.5
End41.8
red by 12.1
294
#36
90.30.9
92.793.6
Auto12.7
Teleop42.6
End35.0
Third
3303
#44
75.31.2
73.574.6
Auto8.4
Teleop33.2
End33.7
blue by 6.5
4
#10
81.80.9
78.479.4
Auto7.8
Teleop42.4
End31.6