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Red235
98055.8
461988.8
496479.1
Blue205
340856.3
576558.2
70280.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2511970100300400235205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.80.1
91.691.7
Auto9.0
Teleop31.4
End48.4
red by 8.0
702
#19
80.90.2
80.580.7
Auto10.5
Teleop37.5
End32.9
Second
79.10.1
81.281.3
Auto10.6
Teleop37.5
End31.1
red by 20.9
58.20.4
57.658.0
Auto7.5
Teleop32.4
End18.3
Third
980
#25
55.80.1
57.857.9
Auto3.9
Teleop35.3
End16.5
blue by 0.6
3408
#17
56.30.3
55.856.1
Auto8.8
Teleop39.8
End7.7