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Red145
395234.5
29490.3
496479.1
Blue173
2486109.1
412349.5
420169.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19821650100150250300350400145173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#36
90.34.4
87.182.7
Auto12.7
Teleop42.6
End35.0
blue by 18.8
109.14.1
93.489.4
Auto15.6
Teleop43.9
End49.6
Second
79.13.7
69.265.5
Auto10.6
Teleop37.5
End31.1
red by 9.3
4201
#16
69.96.1
65.459.3
Auto12.1
Teleop32.4
End25.3
Third
3952
#31
34.55.1
34.529.4
Auto6.4
Teleop24.4
End3.8
blue by 15.0
4123
#47
49.56.1
44.037.9
Auto7.7
Teleop40.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed